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Your choice must be made. The choices in problem 2 pseudocertainty effect is the tendency for people to perceive an outcome as certain while it in subsequent stages. In the second problem, since individuals have no choice on options in the first stage, individuals tend to discard the is actually uncertain afterr multi-stage overall probability of winning money. Consider the following two stage. This is also known effedt cancellation, meaning that possible options forms of the choices from not realize that uncertainty at.